text: Guardian (UK): “Is the US really heading for a second civil war?”. An armed domestic conflict has shifted from unthinkable to thinkable. Citing one scholar, Barbara Walter, the Republican Party now being 90% white is a “superfaction,” which is an indicator of domestic conflict. “The groups that tend to start civil wars are the groups that were once dominant politically but are in decline. They’ve either lost political power or they’re losing political power and they truly believe that the country is theirs by right and they are justified in using force to regain control because the system no longer works for them,” Walter says. She also warns that, in a time of insurgency, white militias would pursue terrorism and could carve out white ethnostates. [source: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jan/09/is-the-us-really-heading-for-a-second-civil-war]New Yorker Radio Hour: “A New Civil War in America?”. Another appearance by Barbara Walter, author of “How Civil Wars Start: And How to Stop Them”, who warns that pre-civil war risk factors found in other countries plagued by war can now be found in the United States. The US is stuck between democracy and anocracy (partial democracy with features of autocracy), which is where civil wars start. Full democracies and full autocracies rarely have civil wars. The shift away from a white majority will drive “a subset of the white population” to embrace political violence to retain power. That violence, she says, is likely to overwhelmingly be acts of terrorism. [source: https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/tnyradiohour/episodes/new-civil-war-america]NYT: “Are We Really Facing a Second Civil War?”. Another article heavily citing Barabara Walter and her book, along with several other articles published in the past few weeks. Opinion writer Michelle Goldberg, who in 2020 encouraged a popular revolution against then-president Donald Trump, writes that a civil war is a possibility, especially because the idea has moved into the mainstream. Goldberg cites another book, Stephen Marche’s “The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future,” which makes the case that “The United States is coming to an end. The question is how.” [source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/06/opinion/america-civil-war.html]Join Mike on today’s Early Warning briefing, where he’ll delve into these items in greater detail. You can watch the video show here (https://forwardobserver.com/early-warning-show/) or catch the members-only Early Warning podcast available here (https://forwardobserver.com/early-warning-podcast/). — END REPORT